Managing Equity and Markets

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Mortgage and Lending - Watermark Capital - NMLS #311662
RECENT BLOG POSTS
Rates have been on a roller coaster the past few weeks and were able to retrace lower last Friday after a higher-than-expected unemployment rate. There were slightly more jobs added than expected (206k vs 200k) but still below last month's 218k. The unemployment rate last month came in at 4% and ...
07/08/2024
Reposting last week for reference, dod not show in my blog history.Last week gave us some conflicting labor data. On the one hand, jobs came in stronger than expected and on the other, unemployment ticked up to 4%. When you do some digging, you find that the number of part-time jobs jumped, which...
06/18/2024
Inflation data came in last week, better than expected. We actually had, according to the data, 0% month-over-month increase. I have always said we needed 3 months of negative month-over-month data to stamp a trend reversal has occurred. But, this is good news too. The Fed, however, put a stop to...
06/18/2024
We have been experiencing a mini roller coaster with interest rates. We are currently in a bit of a drop as we ride the wave of last Friday's PCE (inflation) report which was pretty much in line with analyst expectations. The fact that it didn't pop up was a good sign. This week we have labor dat...
06/04/2024
Sorry to get this out late, I figured I would get you used to the holiday coming next Monday and post on Tuesday.We had a good week last week. Inflation data (CPI) came in as expected and one of the metrics came in under expectations. Markets were happy about this and had a few good days of rates...
05/21/2024
We had a few members speak last week and are set for a lot more to speak this week. Markets will be weighing their viewpoints on the health of the economy, their thoughts on rate hikes/cuts, and the timing of those cuts. More importantly, we get inflation data this week. I discussed last week how...
05/13/2024
As expected, the Fed kept rates unchanged last week at their meeting. It was during Fed Chairman Powell's speech and questioning that I saw a shift in Fed Focus. During the last two years, while the Fed was raising rates at a record pace, they mentioned they were doing so due to the following two...
05/06/2024
Last week's inflation data came in 0.1% higher than expectations. Rates were volatile on the news but then came back in line. They rallied due to an inflation revision that occurred for earlier in the year, which made it seem that the recent increase in inflation was not all that bad. The Fed mee...
04/30/2024
Last week we heard from Fed members including Chairman Powell. This is the first time he spoke with some hesitancy concerning inflation. Essentially he said that it isn't coming down as smoothly as he had hoped. Every Fed move, without a catastrophic event, will be based on how inflation is doing...
04/22/2024
Rates have ticked higher in the past week and have been in a recent uptrend. The jobs report that came in Friday showed more jobs added than expected. Although the unemployment rate was as expected at 3.8%, the strong jobs report was another signal that Fed intervention isn't needed just yet.On t...
04/09/2024
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